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Overwatch: Dallas Fuel vs Disguised (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Dallas Fuel vs Disguised?

Volume:
$7,332

Dallas Fuel

 - Kalshi

Dallas Fuel - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 7:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dallas Fuel

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,319
N/A
N/A
$2,081
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Disguised

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,147
N/A
N/A
$3,830
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Overwatch match between Dallas Fuel and Disguised in the OCS North America Stage 2 Group Stage, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the match winner, total games played, and individual game outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory (both outcomes map to Yes), indicating a data integrity failure. Polymarket provides four coherent, detailed markets with explicit edge-case handling. The platforms are not comparable as written.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi data as presented; it is unresolvable. Use Polymarket's four markets as the single source of truth. Monitor Liquipedia for official results within 2 hours of match conclusion. If results are delayed beyond 2 hours, Polymarket permits consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If Disguised wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Dallas Fuel wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. No cancellation, tie, or forfeit rules provided. This market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Four separate markets defined: (1) Match Winner (Dallas Fuel vs Disguised), (2) Games Total O/U 2.5, (3) Game 1 Winner, (4) Game 2 Winner. Each has explicit resolution rules: 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days without play, or incomplete matches with forfeits. Forfeits/walkovers before match start resolve to 50-50; forfeits/walkovers during match count toward completion. Primary source: Liquipedia within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Overwatch match between Dallas Fuel and Disguised in the OCS North America Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 27 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dallas Fuel" if Dallas Fuel win the match against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Dallas Fuel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/overwatch/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Disguised wins the OCS North America Stage 2 2026: Disguised vs. Dallas Fuel Overwatch match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas Fuel wins the OCS North America Stage 2 2026: Disguised vs. Dallas Fuel Overwatch match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, often incorporating sharp-money signals but also managing risk exposure. Prediction markets like those tracked here rely on trader consensus—each participant risks real capital on their conviction, creating price discovery through collective judgment. This market may reflect different information sets, time horizons, or risk appetites than traditional sportsbooks, sometimes leading to meaningful discrepancies. Both venues can offer value depending on your view and the specific matchup dynamics.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in liquidity, user base composition, and trading mechanics can create price gaps. Kalshi and Polymarket attract different trader demographics and operate under distinct regulatory frameworks, which influences how information flows into prices. One platform may have deeper liquidity in esports contracts, drawing more sophisticated bettors, while the other reflects a broader retail audience. Additionally, each platform's fee structure and order-matching engine can shift marginal pricing. These gaps often close as arbitrageurs trade across venues, but temporary divergences are normal and can signal where conviction is strongest.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or recent performance trends in the OCS North America Stage 2 can shift trader conviction significantly. Scrimmage results, coaching adjustments, or meta shifts in Overwatch patch notes may also influence perceived matchup strength. Public statements from team management or player social media activity occasionally spark repricing. Betting volume spikes closer to match day often reflect sharper money entering the market. Monitor esports news outlets and team announcements for catalysts that could reshape expectations before the series begins.