TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ottawa and a Pacific team, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team wins by a specific number of goals, providing different thresholds for each team. The result is determined solely by regular time scoring, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Ottawa vs Pacific professional Canadian Premier League soccer match scheduled for July 26, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Ottawa winning by more than 2.5 goals, Ottawa winning by more than 1.5 goals, Pacific winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Pacific winning by more than 2.5 goals. All determinations occur after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable outcome if the stated goal differential condition is met; otherwise, it resolves 'No'. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their expectations, which can lead to variations in implied probabilities. These differences may reflect real-time sentiment shifts or emerging news not yet priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome's chance represented as a percentage. The current pricing reflects the collective assessment of participants about the likely point spread in the game. Volume of $5,325 and recent trading patterns also influence how the market evolves leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the final point differential verified against credible public sources once the regular season and any applicable tiebreakers are completed. The outcome depends entirely on the actual performance of both teams over the course of the season.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance shifts can all impact this market as the season progresses. Additionally, major trades, playoff positioning pressures, or unexpected game outcomes may cause rapid reevaluation of the expected spread. Traders will watch these developments closely, adjusting their positions based on how new information shapes the perceived likelihood of various point differentials.