TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This CFL football game between Ottawa and Montreal on June 28, 2026 will be evaluated based on the point spread—how many points separate the winner from the loser. Bettors are predicting the margin of victory across various spreads, with outcomes for both an Ottawa victory and a Montreal victory.
Resolution depends on the final margin of victory in the June 28, 2026 CFL game between Ottawa and Montreal. The event includes multiple spread thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 20.5 points, with separate outcomes for Ottawa winning by specified margins and Montreal winning by specified margins. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome, resolving to Yes if the winning team's margin exceeds the specified point differential. The game must be played as originally scheduled; if postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, all spread outcomes resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show a different spread than major sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or if one venue attracts sharper action. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing limit and market orders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent consensus between traders willing to transact at that moment. As new developments surface or game time approaches, the spread will adjust dynamically. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move, so periods of high activity typically produce tighter, more efficient pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the game concludes and the final spread is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the official final score and point differential. Resolution occurs after the event is complete and the result is no longer subject to change. Traders should monitor official league communications and sports news outlets for confirmation of the final margin.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, or coaching decisions involving either team can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions on game day, recent team performance, and head-to-head matchup history may also influence positioning. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected lineup adjustments typically triggers sharp repricing. Additionally, early-game developments—if this market remains open during play—could prompt rapid adjustments as traders react to live action and updated win probabilities.