TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:47 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 9 - 11) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 9 - 11) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds suggest a high probability that "Other Mommy" will have an opening weekend box office of at least 33m. This contrasts with some early analyst forecasts, which were more conservative, predicting a range of 25m to 30m. However, it’s important to note that analyst predictions are often based on pre-release marketing data and historical trends, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who can incorporate a wider range of information, including social media buzz and early reviews. The market’s dynamic nature allows for adjustments as new data emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final box office numbers for the opening weekend of “Other Mommy” will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the outcome that the box office reaches a certain threshold. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from box office tracking services and industry publications, ensuring transparency and accuracy in determining the market’s outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before its resolution. Positive or negative critical reviews released closer to the opening date could sway public opinion and affect box office projections. Unexpected marketing pushes or viral social media trends could also generate increased interest in the film. Furthermore, any news regarding major competitor releases during the same weekend could influence the perceived potential of the Other Mommy box office. Shifts in these factors will be reflected in the trading activity and price movements within this market.
