TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Osnabruck and Magdeburg. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Osnabruck wins, Magdeburg wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Osnabruck vs Magdeburg professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026: Osnabruck win, Magdeburg win, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event specifically addresses standard match results without involving overtime or penalty-based resolutions.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or margins, traders on Kalshi set prices based purely on their expectations for the match result. This can lead to divergence, especially when sharp traders identify value that sportsbooks have not yet adjusted for.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively determine the price through buying and selling contracts. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each possible outcome. If one result becomes more favored, its price rises while the others fall, driven entirely by participant sentiment and analysis of the teams' performance potential.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and winner will determine which contracts settle, providing a clear and objective resolution based on the actual event outcome.