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469,827

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35,657

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2,899

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Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress
kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress

Jun 11, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Dec 31, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$107,430
Volume 24h:
$13,976
50%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$72,570
18%

Anne Hathaway

 - Kalshi

Anne Hathaway - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 59¢ buys you 169 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $169 | Net Profit: $69 Multiplier: 1.69x | ROI: 69% | APY: 55% 442 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Anne Hathaway

Trade
59%
1%
Yes 59¢No 44¢
3¢
N/A
$27,272
0.42%
3%
$13,562
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Penélope Cruz

Trade
18%
2%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
N/A
$11,119
0.33%
10%
$6,695
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Tao Okamoto

Trade
13%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$4,154
19%
32%
$3,807
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Amanda Seyfried

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$4,870
11%
11%
$4,270
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Kate O'Flynn

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$4,377
0%
14%
$4,347
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Sandra Hüller

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$3,897
0%
14%
$2,927
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Inde Navarrette

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$38,593
39%
123%
$27,460
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Gemma Chan

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,210
0%
10%
$1,019
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Danielle Deadwyler

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$13
0%
0%
$2
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Mariana di Girolamo

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,312
0%
0%
$1,527
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Zendaya

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,794
0%
0.18%
$3,341
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Parker Posey

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,947
0%
0%
$1,932
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,249
140%
140%
$1,220
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Margaret Qualley

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$429
0%
0%
$384
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Isabella Rossellini

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$134
0%
0%
$59
1y 2mo 2w
active
kalshi

Betty Gilpin

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$61
0%
0%
$17
1y 2mo 2w
active
Total markets: 16

Description

The Academy Awards ceremony held in March 2027 will announce the winner of the Best Supporting Actress award. This market tracks which actress receives this prestigious honor at the 99th Academy Awards.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified actresses wins the Best Supporting Actress award at the 99th Academy Awards, expected to be held in March 2027. The eligible actresses are Isabella Rossellini, Sandra Hüller, Margaret Qualley, Betty Gilpin, Anne Hathaway, Mariana di Girolamo, Gemma Chan, Danielle Deadwyler, Penélope Cruz, Zendaya, Parker Posey, Tao Okamoto, and Inde Navarrette. The market also resolves to Yes in the event of a tie for the award. Resolution is based on the official Academy Awards announcement of the Best Supporting Actress winner at the 99th ceremony.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those of traditional entertainment analysts and film critics. While many analysts are predicting a close race, this market shows a clear favorite among traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert opinions and the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ expressed through prediction markets, as traders weigh different factors and information. These differences can stem from varying interpretations of critical reception, box office performance, and campaign strategies.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each potential winner, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity, providing a real-time assessment of the potential outcome. The current volume of $107,430 suggests significant interest in this event.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Best Supporting Actress award is verified against credible public reporting from the Academy Awards ceremony. The official announcement made during the broadcast will serve as the determining factor. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. The market will close prior to the event to ensure a clear and accurate resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major award wins at precursor events like the Golden Globes or the Critics' Choice Awards could shift the odds. Increased media attention or a surge in positive reviews for a particular performance could also influence trading activity. Unexpected campaign developments or controversies surrounding any of the nominees could also cause movement. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as measured by social media or polling data, could lead to changes in the market’s pricing.