TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 9:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. Depending on the specific rule, the outcome will be determined by whether one team wins by a sufficient number of goals. The rules define different thresholds for success, reflecting varying degrees of dominance in the game.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets centered on the margin of victory in the Orlando vs San Luis professional Leagues Cup soccer match scheduled for August 12, 2026. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Rule 1 resolves to Yes if Orlando wins by more than 2.5 goals. Rule 2 resolves to Yes if Orlando wins by more than 1.5 goals. Rule 3 resolves to Yes if San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals. Rule 4 resolves to Yes if San Luis wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, and the secondary disclaimer clarifies that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual property.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price of this market through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied probability reflecting the collective wisdom of participants. The market price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume and new information about team performance, injuries, or weather conditions that might affect the spread outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be determined by the official game score and any adjustments announced by governing sports authorities, after which the market settles automatically.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and weather forecasts for the game day are major signals that could shift this market. Additionally, strong recent performance by either team, trading volume spikes on Kalshi, and public betting trends may influence trader sentiment and move prices leading up to resolution.