TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks individual team goal totals for Orlando and Nashville in their July 25, 2026 MLS match. Bettors can wager on whether each team will exceed various goal thresholds during regulation play.
The event covers the Orlando vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026. Resolution is based on goals recorded by each team after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal. Bettors can wager on whether Orlando or Nashville will exceed 0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals respectively.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money skin-in-the-game. Traders on Kalshi are motivated to price outcomes accurately to profit, which can lead to sharper, less biased estimates than traditional betting lines. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated competitive or superior accuracy compared to sportsbooks on similar events, though individual matchups may show temporary gaps as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's probability, ranging from near-zero to near-100. As new information surfaces—injury reports, weather updates, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, moving the price in real time. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh signals and maintains tight spreads between bid and ask prices.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Orlando vs Nashville game concludes and the final team totals are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual combined team total to the threshold specified in the market terms. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, and weather forecasts that could affect scoring pace or team strategy. Betting action and sharp money flowing into one side can shift trader sentiment rapidly. Recent form, head-to-head matchup history, and any last-minute coaching adjustments may also influence expectations. Public commentary from analysts and media coverage can sway retail traders, while sharp bettors often move the market in anticipation of information others haven't yet priced in. Monitor team news and Vegas line movement for early signals of shifting consensus.