TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming MLS match between Orlando and Cincinnati, bettors will focus on the margin of victory. The outcome depends on whether Orlando secures a decisive win or if Cincinnati dominates sufficiently to cover specific goal differentials.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for the Orlando vs Cincinnati MLS match scheduled for August 15, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Orlando winning by more than 2.5 goals, Orlando winning by more than 1.5 goals, Cincinnati winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Cincinnati winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. The market resolves to Yes for the respective rule if the stated condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the MLS or ownership of league trademarks.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate proprietary adjustments and handling fees, prediction markets let traders vote continuously on likely outcomes. This can create tighter spreads or sharper movements around key events, offering an alternative view of betting value.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through their bids and offers, which reflect the expected point differential between the teams. The current probability indicates the likelihood of each possible spread outcome based on available information, player conditions, and historical performance, with volume of $61,900 showing overall interest.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game score and any verified adjustments, matching the spread line set for this market.