TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Orlando and Chicago Fire. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Orlando vs Chicago Fire MLS match scheduled for August 19, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). If the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ from sportsbook odds because they incorporate real-time trading dynamics and can shift rapidly based on new information. Traders on Kalshi may see different implied probabilities compared to sportsbooks, especially as the match approaches. This divergence can arise from varying participant bases and the decentralized nature of prediction markets, where each trade updates the odds instantly. Sportsbook odds are set by companies with different models and may include adjustments for handling customer bets, leading to noticeable gaps in implied chances between the two systems.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current odds. The market’s top outcome chance reflects the collective belief of participants about the likely result. Volume of $308,360 shows overall interest, while 24-hour volume of $293,771 indicates recent trading activity. As the event nears, these prices can fluctuate quickly based on new data, news, or shifts in trader confidence, making Kalshi’s pricing a dynamic snapshot of market expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Orlando vs Chicago Fire match will determine whether the total goals fall above or below the specified threshold, closing the market definitively.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations for scoring in this market. Additionally, any recent form or performance trends leading up to the match may cause traders to adjust their positions, influencing the odds on Kalshi as the game approaches.