TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Orlando Pride vs. Kansas City Current
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Orlando Pride vs. Kansas City Current?

Volume:
$489,756

Orlando

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orlando

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$228,440
N/A
N/A
$137,332
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orlando Pride

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$127,092
N/A
N/A
$89,171
Settled
No
polymarket

Kansas City Current

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92,603
N/A
N/A
$52,287
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Orlando Pride vs. Kansas City Current)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional NWSL soccer match between Orlando Pride and Kansas City Current scheduled for July 10, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, including win conditions for each team and draw outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity on how all-outcome markets would settle if the game is canceled without a make-up.Hero tip: Monitor official NWSL announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will be advantaged (YES resolution) while win position holders face NO resolution. Kalshi's behavior remains unclear—contact support for clarification before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Orlando win YES/NO, Kansas City win YES/NO, draw YES/NO). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves win markets to NO but draw market to YES. Resolution source: official NWSL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs 'this market will resolve to "Yes"' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three separate YES-resolution markets covering all outcomes (Orlando win, Kansas City win, tie). Each market resolves YES if its outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided in source data. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] is the result of the Orlando vs Kansas City professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Friday, July 10, 2026 between Orlando Pride and Kansas City Current.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final score of the Orlando vs Kansas City professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for July 10, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins during regulation and stoppage time; a Tie outcome resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through fundamentally different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, often adjusting for sharp action and public sentiment. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on continuous trader participation and real-money incentives, allowing prices to reflect decentralized consensus. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge from major sportsbooks because prediction traders face different constraints, liquidity conditions, and information sets. Many traders use sportsbook lines as a reference point but adjust for perceived mispricings, making prediction markets a useful cross-check on conventional odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user bases, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket attracts a global trader pool with lower fees, while Kalshi operates under CFTC oversight with a US-focused audience. Liquidity depth varies between platforms, so large trades can move prices differently depending on where they occur. Additionally, platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, and the timing of information flow can create temporary spreads. Arbitrageurs typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform-specific risks mean price alignment is rarely perfect or instantaneous.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, and recent form or head-to-head records. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage factors, and any last-minute lineup changes can shift trader sentiment significantly. Major news—such as a player suspension, coaching change, or unexpected withdrawal—often triggers sharp repricing across both platforms. Public betting patterns and sportsbook line movements may also influence prediction market prices as traders react to new information. Monitoring official team communications and sports media coverage in the days leading up to kickoff will help identify potential market movers.