TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the professional NWSL soccer match between Orlando Pride and Kansas City Current scheduled for July 10, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, including win conditions for each team and draw outcomes.
This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Friday, July 10, 2026 between Orlando Pride and Kansas City Current.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Orlando vs Kansas City professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for July 10, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins during regulation and stoppage time; a Tie outcome resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user bases, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket attracts a global trader pool with lower fees, while Kalshi operates under CFTC oversight with a US-focused audience. Liquidity depth varies between platforms, so large trades can move prices differently depending on where they occur. Additionally, platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, and the timing of information flow can create temporary spreads. Arbitrageurs typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform-specific risks mean price alignment is rarely perfect or instantaneous.
Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, and recent form or head-to-head records. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage factors, and any last-minute lineup changes can shift trader sentiment significantly. Major news—such as a player suspension, coaching change, or unexpected withdrawal—often triggers sharp repricing across both platforms. Public betting patterns and sportsbook line movements may also influence prediction market prices as traders react to new information. Monitoring official team communications and sports media coverage in the days leading up to kickoff will help identify potential market movers.