TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 12:14 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between Orlando Pride and Chicago Stars FC, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando Pride" if Orlando Pride score more goals than Chicago Stars FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Orlando Pride and Chicago Stars FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Stars FC" if Chicago Stars FC score more goals than Orlando Pride in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between Orlando Pride and Chicago Stars FC, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando Pride" if Orlando Pride score more goals than Chicago Stars FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Orlando Pride and Chicago Stars FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Stars FC" if Chicago Stars FC score more goals than Orlando Pride in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one derive prices from live trader consensus. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispriced outcomes. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injuries. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about the second half result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the platform's algorithm adjusts prices based on the ratio of shares held in the pool. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. This ensures that market prices reflect the collective assessment of all active traders participating in this market at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, though standard completion allows the full 45 minutes of play to determine the winner. Traders should monitor official team announcements and match schedules for any scheduling changes.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage can influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day and referee assignments may also sway sentiment. Once the first half concludes, the scoreline and momentum become critical catalysts; a team trailing by multiple goals may face longer odds in the second half market, while an evenly poised match could keep odds closer to parity. Live updates and social media discussion often accelerate these repricing events.