TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the exact final score of the Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC Major League Soccer (MLS) match scheduled for September 12, 2026. The markets offer a range of possible scores, with an 'Any Other Score' option to cover outcomes not explicitly listed. Resolution depends on the official match statistics.
In the upcoming MLS game between Orlando City SC and Toronto FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
If the Toronto Argonauts win the Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts professional CFL football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Ottawa Redblacks win the Ottawa Redblacks vs Toronto Argonauts professional CFL football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate aggregate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. Sportsbooks, conversely, may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception. While sportsbooks set odds based on implied probabilities and a profit margin, this market allows traders to directly assess the likelihood of each exact score in the Orlando City vs. Toronto FC match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and market participants.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading fees, and liquidity levels, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the way each platform handles margin requirements and order types can create discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors an exact score of 0-0 at 98%, while Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market and the varying perspectives of their respective traders regarding the Orlando City vs. Toronto FC match.