Orlando City SC vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets
Volume:
$471,504
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
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24h
7d
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Description
This event group covers an MLS match between Orlando City SC and New York Red Bulls scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, goal totals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), spread betting, and both-teams-to-score prop.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same resolution window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties), the same official source (mlssoccer.com), and identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer (mlssoccer.com) - final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Core resolution logic:
All markets resolve on the final score recorded by mlssoccer.com at the end of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
Moneyline outcomes (Kalshi) resolve Yes for any result: Orlando win, New York win, or tie
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve based on combined goals meeting or exceeding the threshold
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: -2.5 requires 3+ goal margin, -1.5 requires 2+ goal margin
Both-Teams-to-Score resolves Yes only if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team scores zero
If game is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed
If game is canceled entirely with no makeup date, all markets resolve 50-50
If game starts but does not complete, official final score from mlssoccer.com determines resolution
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a new date
Cancellation without makeup: All markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes)
Incomplete match: Resolution uses the official final score published on mlssoccer.com at the time of stoppage
Extra time or penalties: Explicitly excluded; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts for all markets
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 21, 2026, based on official mlssoccer.com publication
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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