TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Orlando City SC and Nashville SC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC score more goals than Nashville SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Orlando City SC and Nashville SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nashville SC" if Nashville SC score more goals than Orlando City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Orlando City SC and Nashville SC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC score more goals than Nashville SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Orlando City SC and Nashville SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Nashville SC" if Nashville SC score more goals than Orlando City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves—creating a crowdsourced probability estimate. Prediction markets tend to react faster to breaking news and real-time information, whereas sportsbooks may lag slightly. Both can offer value, but prediction market odds are generally considered more efficient at reflecting true probability because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts in how the match outcome is perceived.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the second half of the Orlando City SC versus Nashville SC match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone. If both teams score an equal number of goals in that period, the market resolves to a draw. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle as official match data becomes available and is confirmed across reliable sports news sources.
Several factors can shift odds before Jul 25, 2026. Team news—such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers immediate repricing. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders may adjust second-half expectations accordingly. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns can also influence sentiment. In-game momentum swings, such as an early goal or red card, typically cause sharp moves. Additionally, broader MLS standings pressure or playoff implications may affect how aggressively each team attacks in the second half, prompting traders to reassess probabilities as kickoff approaches and the match unfolds.