TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orlando City SC vs. Club León FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Orlando City SC vs. Club León FC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$4,419

Orlando City SC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 7:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orlando City SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,984
N/A
N/A
$1,948
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orlando City SC

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,073
N/A
N/A
$2,073
Settled
No
kalshi

Club Leon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
$167
Settled
No
polymarket

Club León FC

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group tracks which team will score the first goal in the Orlando City SC vs. Club León FC match, with markets covering Orlando City SC, Club León FC, and Neither team scoring first.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope Difference (Regular Time vs. Full Game Including Extra Time)Hero tip: Traders should be cautious about the differing scopes of the markets. Polymarket excludes extra time goals, while Kalshi includes them. This means a goal scored in extra time would resolve differently across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on first goal in regular time plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. Key Quote: "This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on first goal during the entire game, including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Key Quote: "If Orlando City SC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Orlando City SC and Club León FC, scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club León FC" if Club León FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If Orlando City SC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Orlando City SC vs Club Leon professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Club Leon records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Orlando City SC vs Club Leon professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Orlando City SC vs Club Leon professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the first goal scorer market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team scoring first. It displays cumulative volume of $4,419 and 24-hour volume of $4,320, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. This real-time snapshot helps users compare expectations and spot shifts in betting patterns as the match approaches.

On Polymarket, this market reflects crowd-sourced probabilities that can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets often price in nuanced factors like recent form and injuries faster than sportsbooks, which may lag or incorporate different models. The gap can be especially wide if unusual events occur, making comparison valuable for identifying mispricings or emerging trends.

Differences in user bases and liquidity can cause Polymarket and Kalshi to price this market differently. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds. Additionally, varying trading volumes — Polymarket at $4,419 versus Kalshi at $4,320 — influence how responsive prices are to new information, leading to temporary mismatches.