TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 7:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group tracks which team will score the first goal in the Orlando City SC vs. Club León FC match, with markets covering Orlando City SC, Club León FC, and Neither team scoring first.
In the upcoming match between Orlando City SC and Club León FC, scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club León FC" if Club León FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
If Orlando City SC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Orlando City SC vs Club Leon professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Club Leon records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Orlando City SC vs Club Leon professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Orlando City SC vs Club Leon professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Polymarket, this market reflects crowd-sourced probabilities that can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets often price in nuanced factors like recent form and injuries faster than sportsbooks, which may lag or incorporate different models. The gap can be especially wide if unusual events occur, making comparison valuable for identifying mispricings or emerging trends.
Differences in user bases and liquidity can cause Polymarket and Kalshi to price this market differently. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds. Additionally, varying trading volumes — Polymarket at $4,419 versus Kalshi at $4,320 — influence how responsive prices are to new information, leading to temporary mismatches.