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400,720

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2,633

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5

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Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis?

Volume:
$3,125,716

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 9:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$299,697
N/A
N/A
$159,130
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis)

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orlando

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,508,244
N/A
N/A
$942,248
Settled
No
polymarket

Orlando City SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$769,826
N/A
N/A
$558,649
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlético San Luis

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the upcoming Leagues Cup soccer match between Orlando City SC and Atlético San Luis, scheduled for August 12, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution details available on https://www.leaguescup.com/. The match result on August 12, 2026 will be the key catalyst to watch for final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure divergence between binary outcome markets (Polymarket) and all-outcome market (Kalshi)Hero tip: Avoid arbitrage opportunities between these platforms as Kalshi's market will always resolve Yes regardless of actual match outcome, while Polymarket markets have mutually exclusive outcomes. Focus trading on Polymarket where outcomes are properly exclusive.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Orlando win (resolves No if canceled), Draw (resolves Yes if canceled), San Luis win (resolves No if canceled). Each market only resolves based on its specific outcome condition within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Single market resolving to Yes if Orlando wins, San Luis wins, OR match ends in draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This creates a logical impossibility since only one outcome can occur in any given match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 12, 2026 between Orlando City SC and Atlético San Luis.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Orlando vs San Luis professional Leagues Cup soccer match scheduled for August 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for either Orlando or San Luis markets occurs only if that team secures a victory within regulation time. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orlando City vs. Atlético San Luis match market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume across Polymarket and Kalshi. It visualizes how traders across platforms view the likelihood of various outcomes, with total volume at $3,125,716 and 24-hour volume at $1,964,540. This unified view helps users spot consensus or divergence in expectations for this market.