TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a college baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer increasingly stringent conditions for the market to settle positively.
The event evaluates whether the combined runs scored by the Orix Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles in their college baseball game scheduled for August 11, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT, exceed one of four progressively higher thresholds: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the total runs meet or surpass its respective threshold. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, traders in the Orix vs Rakuten run total market set probabilities that often differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets reflect real-time trader sentiment and can adjust more dynamically to new information, while sportsbooks incorporate broader factors like public betting trends and house edges. This market's current pricing shows a unique perspective that may diverge from sportsbook totals, offering traders an alternative view of expected run output.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to price contracts, aligning trader incentives with accurate probability estimates. The current top outcome reflects the collective wisdom of participants, with volume of $50,716 indicating interest. Traders buy or sell contracts representing their belief in over or under outcomes, and prices shift continuously based on order flow and market depth as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over/under result is determined by adding the total runs scored by both teams during the game, and this number is then matched against the market’s defined threshold.
Injuries to key players, weather delays affecting game length, or changes to starting pitchers can all shift this market. Strong recent performances from hitters or pitching staff adjustments may also cause price swings. Any last-minute roster updates or stadium conditions that impact scoring potential will influence trader positioning as Aug 11, 2026 approaches.