TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 8:20 AM EST
Kalshi
The Orix Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles will compete in a baseball match where bettors can predict if the Golden Eagles will win by a margin exceeding specified run differences.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Japan NPB game between the Orix Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for August 12, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Four separate conditions determine resolution: if the Golden Eagles win by more than 2.5 runs, if they win by more than 1.5 runs, if the Buffaloes win by more than 1.5 runs, or if the Buffaloes win by more than 2.5 runs. The specific condition met dictates the market outcome, with each condition representing a distinct threshold for victory margins. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting volumes of $8,318. While sportsbooks set lines based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders watch both sources for clues, but this market’s odds reflect Kalshi’s collective assessment rather than sportsbook adjustments.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score and whether Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles meet or exceed the set run differential. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded statistics from the match.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could shift this market as they affect team strength and spread viability. Traders will also watch pre-game betting trends, analyst predictions, and any momentum swings from recent matchups. Volume of $6,549 may surge around these updates, reflecting heightened interest or rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.