TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$530,118

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 8:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$285,303
N/A
N/A
$191,475
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$211,947
N/A
N/A
$130,240
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the NPB baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution governed by npb.jp. The outcome will be confirmed at the end of the August 3, 2026 game window, reflecting the official result of this scheduled matchup, and any tied or cancelled games will follow the specific settlement guidelines outlined in the market rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between platforms - Polymarket has three possible outcomes while Kalshi has only twoHero tip: Do not treat these as equivalent bets. Polymarket allows for tie/cancellation outcomes while Kalshi collapses all win scenarios into a single Yes outcome

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market: resolves to Orix Buffaloes, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles, or 50-50 for ties/cancellations
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes for any team win, with no distinction between teams
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 3 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix vs. Rakuten matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time chances and volume. It displays how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, along with total volume of $530,118 and 24-hour volume of $474,862. This gives traders a consensus view of where the market stands, highlighting any notable shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.