TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$109,749

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 4:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45,352
N/A
N/A
$30,702
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,389
N/A
N/A
$32,462
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a single baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles in Japan's NPB. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a make-up game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game scheduled for September 12, 2026, while Polymarket references a game scheduled for September 12, 2024. This creates a fundamental discrepancy in the event being predicted.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the date discrepancy is resolved. The Polymarket market appears to be referencing the current season, but double-check the schedule to confirm.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of the game scheduled for September 12, 2024, at 1:00 AM ET. Tie or cancellation results in a 50-50 split. "If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to 'Orix Buffaloes'. If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to 'Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the winner of the game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. "If Orix Buffaloes wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 12 at 1:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and house biases, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incentivizing accurate forecasting. This can lead to differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes. While sportsbooks might initially set odds based on team rankings, this market incorporates real-time information and expert opinions, potentially offering a more nuanced assessment of the Orix Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles’ chances.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. These platforms have distinct user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds differ between the two venues. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of the available information and ultimately, different probabilities assigned to each potential outcome. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are addressing the same underlying question regarding the NPB championship.