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Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Volume:
$14,777

Over 5.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 8:00 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,759
N/A
N/A
$2,986
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,342
N/A
N/A
$2,147
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$984
N/A
N/A
$974
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
$746
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct baseball games involving the Orix Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The first is an NPB professional game scheduled for August 27, 2024, while the second refers to a college baseball game scheduled for August 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets refer to entirely different games (professional NPB vs. college) occurring on different dates (August 27, 2024 vs. August 25, 2026)Hero tip: These markets are fundamentally different and should not be treated as equivalent. Verify whether you are trading based on the professional NPB game or the college game before placing bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the NPB professional game scheduled for August 27, 2024. Market resolves to the winning team, remains open if postponed, and splits if canceled or tied. Key quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on run totals in a college baseball game scheduled for August 25, 2026. Market resolves to Yes if total runs exceed various thresholds (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5). Key quote: If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Orix Buffaloes collectively score more than 5.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 27 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Orix Buffaloes in their college baseball game scheduled for August 25, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately based on its respective threshold. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the actual game result, with no adjustments for external factors or disclaimers impacting the scoring verification.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix vs. Rakuten matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price this contest. It displays total volume of $14,777 and 24-hour volume of $13,611, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view consolidates odds and positioning so you can gauge consensus or spot splits between bookmakers and prediction markets.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through aggregated trader sentiment, which often diverges from traditional sportsbook odds set by professional bookmakers. Prediction markets reflect real-time participant beliefs and can show sharper shifts ahead of games, especially when unusual trading patterns emerge. Sportsbook odds incorporate broader risk models and historical data, typically offering more stable lines but less granular insight into crowd-driven narratives. The gap between the two can widen if Polymarket traders price in specific plays or roster changes more aggressively than sportsbooks do. Comparing both gives a layered view of market confidence versus institutional forecasts.