TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Volume:
$95,726

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,522
N/A
N/A
$29,990
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,267
N/A
N/A
$27,206
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an upcoming NPB baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET. The markets will resolve based on the winner of the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between platforms - Kalshi's binary Yes/No format cannot properly handle ties, cancellations or postponements as defined in Polymarket rulesHero tip: Avoid Kalshi exposure until platform corrects its structure. Polymarket provides the only reliable resolution path as it explicitly handles all possible game outcomes including ties, cancellations and postponements

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market resolving to Orix Buffaloes, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles, or 50-50 for ties/cancellations/postponements using official NPB information
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes for either team win with no explicit handling for ties, cancellations or postponements
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix vs. Rakuten matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how trader sentiment and volume evolve as the game approaches. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $95,726, and 24-hour volume of $94,633 across all venues. This gives you a live snapshot of market expectations and liquidity trends for this specific matchup, letting you compare how different prediction markets price the contest.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge due to differences in user base, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a specific team, while the other could reflect international or broader trader sentiment. Additionally, varying volume levels — Polymarket showing higher recent activity than Kalshi — can amplify small shifts into larger price differences. These dynamics often lead to distinct implied probabilities for the same event.