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400,720

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Volume:
$62,522

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 8:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,683
N/A
N/A
$18,752
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,845
N/A
N/A
$18,633
Settled
No
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic mismatch between platforms - Polymarket uses team names with tie/cancellation handling while Kalshi incorrectly resolves to Yes for any team winHero tip: Do not attempt arbitrage between these markets as the divergence is structural and unlikely to be corrected. Focus trading on the Polymarket market which has proper outcome handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Orix Buffaloes, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles, or 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for either team win creating logical contradiction. Quote: If Orix Buffaloes wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 25 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix vs. Rakuten matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, volume of $62,522, and 24-hour volume of $54,377 across venues. This gives you a live consensus view of market sentiment as the game approaches, letting you see how expectations shift before the first pitch is thrown.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in team performance leading up to the game could all shift this market. News about starting pitchers, recent winning streaks, or even shifts in betting volume on either platform may cause probabilities to adjust. As the game nears, any last-minute updates will be reflected instantly in trader activity, potentially moving the odds dramatically in either direction.