TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 8:19 AM EST
Kalshi
Two Japanese baseball teams, the Orix Buffaloes and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles, will compete in a match scheduled for August 12, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures the victory in this head-to-head contest.
The market resolves based on the result of the Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If Orix Buffaloes wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins, their market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent each possible outcome. The current top chance reflects the market’s implied probability, derived from active bidding and offering. Volume of $114,760 in the last 24 hours shows how much trading activity is occurring, and price shifts respond quickly to new information, injuries, or performance updates affecting either team.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is then matched to the market’s defined payouts. No additional interpretation is needed beyond confirming the final score or winner through trusted sports news and league records.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions, and recent performance trends can all shift this market as the game approaches. Any news that impacts team strength or fan expectations—such as a sudden surge in wins or losses—will likely cause price adjustments. Traders will also react to any last-minute lineup changes or strategic announcements from the teams, influencing odds in the days leading up to Aug 12, 2026.