TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 8:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a college baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and Saitama Seibu Lions. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity for the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Orix Buffaloes and Saitama Seibu Lions in their college baseball game scheduled for August 18, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Four separate markets correspond to progressively higher run totals: over 5.5 runs, over 7.5 runs, over 9.5 runs, and over 11.5 runs. For each market, if the combined score of both teams exceeds the specified threshold, that particular market resolves to 'Yes.' Each market operates independently, allowing participants to assess different levels of scoring potential in the same game. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show tighter spreads and can shift more rapidly based on real-time trading activity. Sportsbook odds incorporate broader public betting trends and may include adjustments for house edges. The difference can be notable, especially as the event nears, since prediction markets react purely to trader positions without the structural overhead found in sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine pricing through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. The market price adjusts dynamically based on order flow and volume, capturing nuanced shifts in sentiment. As trading volume increases, particularly in the days leading to Aug 18, 2026, the odds may converge toward what traders believe is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total runs scored in the game will be compared against the line set in the contract terms, and the result will update automatically once official statistics are released post-match.
In the coming weeks, key signals such as starting pitcher announcements, injury updates, and recent team performance trends could shift this market. Weather conditions on game day, umpires' strike zones, and even last-minute roster changes may influence the total runs scored. As Aug 18, 2026 approaches, any significant betting volume spikes or large trades on Kalshi will also impact pricing, reflecting updated trader confidence in the likely outcome.