TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread

Volume:
$3,337

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 8:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$1,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
$898
Settled
No
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Saitama Seibu Lions, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The event reflects competitive sports betting dynamics where participants assess team performance and expected score differences.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes for the Japan NPB game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Saitama Seibu Lions scheduled for August 18, 2026. Four distinct markets resolve based on the winning margin: the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 2.5 runs, the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, the Orix Buffaloes winning by over 1.5 runs, and the Orix Buffaloes winning by over 2.5 runs. Each market has a specific threshold for resolution, with the outcome determined by the actual run differential at the end of the game. All markets are independent, and each resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified run-difference condition is met. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and unique positioning. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads, Kalshi lets participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders may react faster to news or shifts in team performance, potentially leading to divergence from standard sportsbook odds.

Injuries, weather delays, or pitching changes can shift this market sharply before Aug 18, 2026. Key starters’ performance, bullpen updates, and last-minute lineup decisions often drive rapid price swings. Traders will also watch pre-game betting trends and any news impacting team morale or home-field advantage, all of which can influence odds on Kalshi in the final days.