TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 8:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Saitama Seibu Lions, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The event reflects competitive sports betting dynamics where participants assess team performance and expected score differences.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes for the Japan NPB game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Saitama Seibu Lions scheduled for August 18, 2026. Four distinct markets resolve based on the winning margin: the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 2.5 runs, the Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, the Orix Buffaloes winning by over 1.5 runs, and the Orix Buffaloes winning by over 2.5 runs. Each market has a specific threshold for resolution, with the outcome determined by the actual run differential at the end of the game. All markets are independent, and each resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified run-difference condition is met. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Injuries, weather delays, or pitching changes can shift this market sharply before Aug 18, 2026. Key starters’ performance, bullpen updates, and last-minute lineup decisions often drive rapid price swings. Traders will also watch pre-game betting trends and any news impacting team morale or home-field advantage, all of which can influence odds on Kalshi in the final days.