TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses the victory margin in a professional baseball game between Orix Buffaloes and Saitama Seibu Lions, with different thresholds for each team's win.
The market resolves based on the run differential in the Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions game scheduled for August 1, 2026. If Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market is evaluated independently, focusing on the margin of victory for the respective teams.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official game determines whether the spread posted by Kalshi was correct. Traders can track confirmed results through trusted sports news outlets and official league announcements to anticipate the market closing.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes to starting lineups could shift this market significantly before Aug 1, 2026. Performance metrics from recent matchups, trading volume spikes, and analyst updates also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster changes or strategic decisions by coaches may cause rapid re-pricing as participants reassess the likely point spread.