TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread
kalshi

Who will win Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions?

Volume:
$29,316

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 7:50 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,542
N/A
N/A
$10,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,982
N/A
N/A
$7,610
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,810
N/A
N/A
$1,891
Settled
No
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$981
N/A
N/A
$905
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event assesses the victory margin in a professional baseball game between Orix Buffaloes and Saitama Seibu Lions, with different thresholds for each team's win.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the run differential in the Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions game scheduled for August 1, 2026. If Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market is evaluated independently, focusing on the margin of victory for the respective teams.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and historical data, prediction markets allow for rapid adjustments. Traders can react to breaking news, player injuries, or weather conditions much faster, which may cause this market’s implied probability to diverge from standard sportsbook offerings.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official game determines whether the spread posted by Kalshi was correct. Traders can track confirmed results through trusted sports news outlets and official league announcements to anticipate the market closing.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes to starting lineups could shift this market significantly before Aug 1, 2026. Performance metrics from recent matchups, trading volume spikes, and analyst updates also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster changes or strategic decisions by coaches may cause rapid re-pricing as participants reassess the likely point spread.