TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions?

Volume:
$233,548

Saitama Seibu Lions

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 3:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$120,613
N/A
N/A
$86,421
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111,826
N/A
N/A
$81,117
Settled
No
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Nippon Professional Baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Saitama Seibu Lions. Currently, the consensus probability of the Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions winning is 10.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on the game results reported by https://npb.jp/. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 10th, as referenced in Polymarket’s resolution rules, to see how the market evolves leading up to the final pitch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets are resolving on different games entirely, creating a fundamental divergence in resolution criteria.Hero tip: Focus trading activity on the Polymarket market, as it directly addresses the Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions game. Avoid the Kalshi market due to its unrelated game reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions game on September 10th. A 50-50 split occurs if the game is canceled or ends in a tie. "If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka Hawks game on September 6th, 2026. Any win by either team resolves the market to 'Yes'. "If Saitama Seibu Lions wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 10 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, at 12:00 AM EDT. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Cancellations or reschedules beyond two days trigger a fair price resolution. Ties resolve to a 50/50 split. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the NPB championship market. It aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of expectations. Currently, the combined volume across both venues is $233,548, with $233,375 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of prediction market traders is evolving. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities and trading volume, offering a comprehensive look at the market’s sentiment regarding the Orix Buffaloes and Saitama Seibu Lions.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks also typically charge a 'vig,' which is a commission built into the odds, whereas prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs. However, sportsbooks often offer a wider range of betting options than are currently available in this market. The difference in odds can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries or trades on either the Orix Buffaloes or Saitama Seibu Lions would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in regular season games, particularly head-to-head matchups, will also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in the playoffs or changes in team momentum could also drive significant movement. Additionally, any news regarding managerial decisions or team strategy could affect the perceived probabilities, leading to shifts in the market’s pricing.