TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions?

Volume:
$113,874

Saitama Seibu Lions

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 7:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,650
N/A
N/A
$27,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,619
N/A
N/A
$28,918
Settled
No
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Saitama Seibu Lions, scheduled for September 8th. The market resolves to either the Buffaloes winning or the Lions winning, with tie/cancellation rules specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a win for either team as resolving 'Yes', while Polymarket requires specifying *which* team wins. This creates a SKU risk.Hero tip: Be cautious of Kalshi's market; a tie or cancellation will still resolve to 'Yes', unlike Polymarket which resolves to a 50-50 split.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team (Orix Buffaloes or Saitama Seibu Lions). Tie/cancellation resolves 50-50. "If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Saitama Seibu Lions wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 8 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days; cancellations or reschedules exceeding two days result in fair price resolution. Ties resolve markets to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and their own risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert opinion. While not always the case, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, particularly when there’s significant information asymmetry or a strong incentive for accurate prediction in this market.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing interpretations of the same data. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in wider bid-ask spreads and more volatile pricing. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on Polymarket and Kalshi may contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Orix Buffaloes at 97, while Kalshi leans toward Orix Buffaloes wins.