TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:36 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 26 at 1:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 26 at 1:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. Currently, the market suggests a strong likelihood of a particular outcome, as indicated by the share prices.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Orix Buffaloes vs. Nippon Ham Fighters championship series will determine the outcome of this market. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the NPB, and any disputes will be resolved based on widely accepted sources of information. Traders should monitor official announcements as the championship series progresses to stay informed about the potential resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key player injuries, unexpected performance shifts during the championship series, and even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Any news regarding team strategies or changes in managerial decisions could also lead to significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in early games of the series could cause a reassessment of the probabilities, shifting volume and altering the implied likelihood of each team winning. Monitoring these events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.