TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$50,295

Over 7.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 8:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,308
N/A
N/A
$10,930
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,438
N/A
N/A
$5,671
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,050
N/A
N/A
$2,049
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,886
N/A
N/A
$1,302
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group centers on the outcome of a Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB) game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The primary question focuses on which team will win the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms ask fundamentally different questions – one on the game winner, the other on total runs scored.Hero tip: Trade each platform's market independently based on your specific prediction (team winner vs. total runs).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Orix or Hawks), or 50-50 in case of a tie or cancellation. "If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to 'Orix Buffaloes'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if the combined runs scored exceed a specified threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5). "If Fukuoka Hawks and Orix Buffaloes collectively score more than 5.5 runs...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 17 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in a single college baseball game between the Fukuoka Hawks and Orix Buffaloes, scheduled for September 17, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market outcome. If the combined runs exceed any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The event is unaffiliated with any official governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate prediction probabilities for the NPB championship, specifically focusing on the Orix Buffaloes versus the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $50,295, with $49,804 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of who is favored to win, aggregating data from different forecasting sources. The dashboard allows users to compare how traders on each platform perceive the likelihood of different outcomes in the NPB championship, offering a comprehensive look at the market’s expectations.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital based on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to nuanced information or expert opinions. Generally, prediction markets are considered to be highly efficient forecasts, sometimes even more accurate than traditional methods, but it’s important to compare both to get a well-rounded view of potential outcomes for the NPB championship.