TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$70,451

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 7:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,591
N/A
N/A
$32,895
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,927
N/A
N/A
$15,006
Settled
No
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks, scheduled for September 15th. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a make-up game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi references a game scheduled for 2026, while Polymarket references a game scheduled for September 15th of the current year, creating a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until the date discrepancy is resolved. Focus on Polymarket, but monitor for potential updates regarding the game schedule.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Orix Buffaloes or Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks) or 50-50 for a tie/cancellation. The game is scheduled for September 15th. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, but references a game scheduled for September 15, 2026. "If Orix Buffaloes wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 15 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate probabilities of various outcomes for the NPB championship. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one team winning, with a combined volume of $70,451. We monitor how traders on both venues are pricing the potential winner, providing a comprehensive view of sentiment. This allows for a broader understanding than looking at any single prediction market in isolation. The dashboard displays the current probabilities and volume traded on each platform, offering a consolidated look at the NPB championship market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert analysis. However, both types of odds ultimately aim to accurately predict the probability of an event occurring, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi often arise due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and available liquidity. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders than Kalshi, leading to differing risk assessments and, consequently, price discrepancies. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. While both platforms address the same underlying event, these factors contribute to the observed price variations in this market. These differences are natural and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets.