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Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Volume:
$12,200

Over 7.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 7:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,038
N/A
N/A
$3,515
Settled
No
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,317
N/A
N/A
$1,834
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
$1,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$773
N/A
N/A
$697
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct baseball games involving the Orix Buffaloes and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The first is an NPB professional league game scheduled for August 30, 2024, while the second refers to a college baseball game scheduled for August 28, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets reference entirely different games (professional NPB league game vs. college baseball game) occurring on different dates (August 30, 2024 vs. August 28, 2026)Hero tip: These markets are fundamentally different events despite sharing team names. Polymarket refers to a professional league game in 2024, while Kalshi refers to a college game in 2026. Treat them as separate markets with no correlation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the NPB professional league game scheduled for August 30, 2024. Market resolves to "Orix Buffaloes" if they win, "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks" if they win, 50-50 for ties/cancellations, remains open for postponements. Source: Official NPB information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on total runs scored in a college baseball game scheduled for August 28, 2026, with four separate threshold conditions (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs). Each condition has its own yes/no market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 30 at 1:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the combined runs scored by the Fukuoka Hawks and Orix Buffaloes in their college baseball game scheduled for August 28, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT exceed predefined thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a distinct market, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the total runs surpass that specific threshold. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the actual game result, with no adjustments for external factors or disputes beyond the stated run totals.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix-Fukuoka SoftBank matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction venues, showing how traders price the contest across platforms. It displays total volume of $12,200 and 24-hour volume of $12,089, letting you see where consensus forms and where divergence appears. Because this market pulls from several prediction markets, you can watch how betting patterns shift as the game approaches, giving a clear snapshot of collective trader sentiment toward the teams' performance.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment through a probability price, while traditional sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and house edges. Prediction markets often show sharper, real-time adjustments, especially with volume of $12,200. Sportsbook odds can lag due to fixed lines and broader market overlays. The difference provides two views: one driven by decentralized trader activity, the other by curated risk models. Both can diverge significantly, making the Orix-Fukuoka SoftBank matchup market interesting for cross-market analysis.