TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Volume:
$588,433

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$356,999
N/A
N/A
$195,115
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$227,263
N/A
N/A
$118,585
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 99.5%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution governed by https://npb.jp/. Watch the game scheduled for August 23, 2026, as this will serve as the key catalyst for market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have fundamentally different resolution structures: Kalshi resolves to a binary Yes if either team wins, while Polymarket resolves to specific team outcomes, with additional conditions for postponements, cancellations, and ties.Hero tip: Traders should be cautious due to the fundamental divergence in how outcomes are resolved between platforms. Consider hedging positions accordingly, especially for edge cases like game cancellations or ties.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Orix Buffaloes wins the game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, or if Fukuoka Hawks wins the same game on the same date.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Orix Buffaloes if they win the game scheduled for August 29 at 5:00AM ET, resolves to Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks if they win, remains open if postponed, and resolves 50-50 if canceled or ends in a tie.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 29 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT. If postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game finishes within two days. Cancellations or reschedules beyond two days lead to fair price resolution. Ties resolve markets to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix Buffaloes vs. Hawks matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence in trader sentiment. It tracks total volume of $588,433 and 24-hour volume of $586,269, alongside current implied probabilities from each platform. This gives you a live snapshot of how Polymarket and Kalshi users price the contest, highlighting any consensus or splits in expectations for the game outcome.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in team form could shift this market as the game approaches. Strong recent performance from either team may also sway trader sentiment, especially if new data emerges about pitching rotations or bullpen strength. Any last-minute news that impacts game-day lineups can cause rapid price adjustments on both platforms before settlement.