TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Volume:
$86,628

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 7:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$60,465
N/A
N/A
$36,313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$25,407
N/A
N/A
$18,626
Settled
No
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks scheduled for August 28 at 5:00AM ET. The markets resolve based on the winning team, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contradicts Polymarket's by resolving to Yes for any win, ignoring tie/cancellation rules and creating a fundamental logical mismatch.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi due to logical contradiction; Polymarket provides clear, NPB-aligned resolution paths. If participating, use Polymarket for accurate outcome-based settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Orix Buffaloes, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks, 50-50 for tie/cancellation, remains open for postponement — aligns with NPB rules
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for either team winning — logical contradiction, ignores tie/cancellation rules
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 28 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Fukuoka Hawks vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game scheduled for August 28, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the Fukuoka Hawks win, their market resolves to Yes; if the Orix Buffaloes win, their market resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve to 50/50. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix-Fukuoka SoftBank matchup market tracks aggregated betting data from multiple venues, showing how trader sentiment evolves over time. It displays total volume of $86,628 and 24-hour volume of $84,625, letting users see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, reflecting new bets placed on Polymarket and Kalshi. This consolidated perspective helps participants spot trends and compare platform-specific odds against the broader market consensus for this sports event.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment rather than set bookmaker margins. For example, the implied probability here may show a tighter race or a different favorite than standard sportsbooks. This difference can create arbitrage opportunities or simply offer a fresh perspective on team strength as seen by a decentralized community of participants.

In-game performance, player injuries, weather conditions, and pitching rotations can all shift this market as the event approaches. Key moments such as star player announcements, changes in team strategy, or unexpected rainouts may cause rapid adjustments in odds on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Traders will also watch betting volume spikes, as surges often preview shifts in sentiment or new information impacting the perceived likelihood of each outcome.