TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Fukuoka Hawks. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Orix Buffaloes and Fukuoka Hawks in their NPB game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets resolve based on the official game result, provided the game is played as scheduled. If the game is postponed, canceled, or otherwise not played as scheduled, all markets will resolve as 'No.' The event is purely informational and is not endorsed or affiliated with the governing league or any official team or organization involved in the game.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likely total runs scored. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under the specified line. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the expected total runs. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the game’s scoring.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Orix Buffaloes versus Fukuoka Hawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of the market’s threshold. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome, based on the actual game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the Orix Buffaloes or the Fukuoka Hawks would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions, particularly forecasts for rain or wind, can also impact scoring expectations. Furthermore, in-game events, such as early scoring plays or dominant pitching performances, could lead to rapid shifts in the market as traders react to the unfolding action and adjust their predictions accordingly.