TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. It focuses on how many runs one team might win by compared to the other, reflecting the competitive balance expected in the match.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets tied to the same baseball game, each evaluating different run-margin thresholds for either team's victory. All markets resolve based solely on the final score of the game scheduled for August 9, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT, with no consideration for any changes due to rescheduling or other external factors. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's victory exceeds the designated run margin defined in that particular market—either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 runs—for their respective win. If no such condition is met in a given market, it resolves to 'No.' The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Strong performance in prior matchups, recent team form, and expert previews may also influence odds. As Aug 9, 2026 nears, any last-minute roster updates or coaching strategies that affect the likely margin of victory will be closely watched by participants on Kalshi.