TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 8:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming game, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts might bet on the expected competitiveness or dominance of one team over the other. Outcomes are determined by the actual game result and the difference in runs scored between the two teams.
The event consists of four separate markets, each defining a specific margin of victory for either the Orix Buffaloes or the Chiba Lotte Marines in their game scheduled for August 8, 2026. The first market resolves to Yes if the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if the Orix Buffaloes win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if the Orix Buffaloes win by more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each has identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The resolution of each market depends solely on the actual run differential from the game.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score, specifically the margin of victory, and will be settled based on standardized sports data sources. Traders can track confirmed results through official league channels after the game concludes.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting lineups could shift this market as they affect expected performance. Updates from coaches or pre-game analysis may also influence trader sentiment. Any shift in the perceived likelihood of a decisive margin — whether through pitching matchups or recent team form — can cause rapid price adjustments in the final days before resolution.