TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
kalshi
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

Volume:
$646,749

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 4:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$297,956
N/A
N/A
$177,897
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338,761
N/A
N/A
$174,765
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Nippon Professional Baseball matchup between the Orix Buffaloes and Chiba Lotte Marines. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution governed by https://npb.jp/. Watch for the game scheduled for July 25, 2026, as this will be the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Chiba Lotte Marines win and Orix Buffaloes win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid path to No and making the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and explicit tie/cancellation handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with three explicit resolution paths: Buffaloes win resolves to Orix Buffaloes, Marines win resolves to Chiba Lotte Marines, tie or cancellation resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Source: NPB official or credible consensus.
  • Kalshi: Defective Yes/No market. Both Chiba Lotte Marines victory and Orix Buffaloes victory are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 25 at 1:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Japan NPB game between Chiba Lotte Marines and Orix Buffaloes originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on the final outcome of the completed game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix vs. Lotte matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing total volume of $646,749 and 24-hour volume of $645,066. It displays consensus probabilities drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, letting users compare how traders on different platforms price this market. The view updates in real time, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.