TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines?

Volume:
$114,707

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 7:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,570
N/A
N/A
$40,942
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,094
N/A
N/A
$26,789
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Orix Buffaloes and Chiba Lotte Marines scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the official winner declared by NPB.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Orix win or Chiba win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path under normal circumstances. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as written cannot distinguish between a decisive game and an edge case. Request explicit confirmation from Kalshi on how postponements, cancellations, and ties are handled, and what triggers a No resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary categorical resolution: resolves to team name (Orix Buffaloes or Chiba Lotte Marines) based on winner. Explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Source: Official NPB information or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Stated as Yes if Chiba wins OR Yes if Orix wins. No explicit No resolution condition provided. Missing edge case definitions for postponement, cancellation, or tie. Logical tautology: any decisive game outcome triggers Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 24 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers a Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT between the Chiba Lotte Marines and Orix Buffaloes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per the rules. In the event of a tie, all related markets resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for sports event prediction markets. Traders on each platform buy and sell shares tied to the game's outcome, with real-time prices reflecting the collective forecast of who will win. The dashboard displays current odds from both venues, recent volume of $114,707, and 24-hour volume of $108,009, allowing you to compare how different market communities are pricing this contest and spot opportunities across platforms.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks both express the probability of an outcome, but they operate differently. Sportsbooks set odds and manage risk as a business, incorporating margins and sharp-money adjustments. Prediction markets, by contrast, are peer-to-peer exchanges where traders themselves set prices through supply and demand. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks update their lines. Both can be useful reference points, though prediction market prices tend to be more efficient when volume is active.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, lineup changes, recent team performance streaks, and head-to-head historical trends. Weather conditions on game day can also influence outcomes in baseball. Major trades or roster moves closer to the event date often trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage, expert commentary, and shifts in public betting sentiment can accelerate price movement as well. Real-time game flow—if either team takes an early lead or momentum swings—will drive final adjustments in the hours before the match concludes.