TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
kalshi
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

Volume:
$108,952

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 7:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49,762
N/A
N/A
$34,073
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,631
N/A
N/A
$43,971
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of an upcoming NPB baseball game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Chiba Lotte Marines scheduled for September 4 at 5:00AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch - Kalshi's binary resolution logic cannot handle tie, cancellation, or postponement scenarios while Polymarket explicitly accounts for all outcomesHero tip: Avoid Kalshi exposure until resolution rules are updated to match Polymarket's comprehensive outcome handling. Polymarket remains the only platform with a complete and executable resolution path for all possible game scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market: resolves to team name for wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations, remains open for postponements - Quote: If the game is canceled entirely...this market will resolve 50-50
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes market that resolves Yes for either team win but lacks any resolution path for ties, cancellations, or postponements - Quote: If Orix Buffaloes wins...then the market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 4 at 5:00AM ET: If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event comprises two markets determining the result of a Japan NPB baseball match between the Chiba Lotte Marines and Orix Buffaloes, also scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. The first market resolves to Yes if the Chiba Lotte Marines win, while the second resolves to Yes if the Orix Buffaloes win. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets. If the game is postponed or delayed but rescheduled within two days, markets stay open until the game finishes. If canceled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price based on prevailing circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Orix vs. Lotte matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the contest across venues. It displays total volume of $108,952 and 24-hour volume of $102,733, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the game approaches. This consolidated snapshot helps you gauge market momentum and compare platform trends for the Orix vs. Lotte matchup market.