TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 20, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Allsvenskan match between Orgryte IS and Djurgardens IF on July 20, 2026. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a 100.0% probability for a draw, with Djurgardens IF winning at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the official Allsvenskan website based on the result at 90 minutes of play. Watch for the match kickoff on July 20, 2026, as the event window closes when the final whistle sounds.
This event is for the upcoming Allsvenskan game, scheduled for Monday, July 20, 2026 between Orgryte IS and Djurgardens IF.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Orgryte vs Djurgarden professional Allsvenskan soccer game originally scheduled for July 20, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Orgryte win, Djurgarden win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live consensus from traders wagering real money on their beliefs. Prediction market prices often react faster to breaking news and tend to be more efficient over time because traders profit by spotting mispricings. However, sportsbook odds may include sharper professional input and tighter spreads due to higher liquidity. Comparing both sources can reveal valuable gaps in how the market is pricing this match.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and regulatory frameworks, all of which influence how prices evolve. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market designs—such as order-book depth, minimum bet sizes, or promotional incentives—that encourage different participation patterns. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary price divergence is normal, especially in less liquid or newer markets. Monitoring both venues helps you identify whether a price difference reflects genuine disagreement or a fleeting opportunity.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or managerial decisions can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings also influence pricing as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking team news may trigger repricing in the final days. Broader market movements—such as shifts in how traders view either team's season trajectory—can also ripple through this market. Monitoring team social media, official announcements, and sports news outlets will help you stay ahead of price moves.