TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many yards they gain through receptions. The outcome depends on whether each team meets or exceeds various yardage thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards tallied by either Oregon or USC in the college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Receiving yards from both regular play and the first or second overtime periods are counted towards a team's total, but successful two-point conversions—including those in overtime—do not contribute. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available in traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on power rankings and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each source interprets the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular yardage range is likely, the price of contracts for that range will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing perceptions, offering a real-time assessment of the potential receiving yards for the Oregon vs USC game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Oregon vs USC game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage total, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those who bet on incorrect ranges will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the opposing defensive secondary would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift probabilities. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team practice reports can also impact trading activity. Finally, even late-breaking news about coaching strategies or player matchups could lead to adjustments in the prices within this market.