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Oregon vs USC: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Oregon vs USC?

Volume:
$17,618

Oregon wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Oregon wins 4Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 11:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oregon wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,402
N/A
N/A
$1,963
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,733
N/A
N/A
$1,645
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,181
N/A
N/A
$989
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,150
N/A
N/A
$2,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,896
N/A
N/A
$2,746
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,163
N/A
N/A
$1,935
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,438
N/A
N/A
$1,438
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,252
N/A
N/A
$1,249
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$757
N/A
N/A
$694
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$615
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Oregon or USC specifically within the final quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential by which either Oregon or USC wins specifically during the 4th quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' the winning team must exceed the specified point spread threshold set in the market title during that quarter alone. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will instead resolve to a fair price, taking into account all relevant circumstances and information available at that time. Only points scored during the 4th quarter—excluding overtime—are counted toward these determinations.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Oregon vs USC spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the fourth quarter of the game. You'll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $17,618. The total volume traded on this market is $17,618. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and understand market sentiment regarding the likely final spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, or where the market anticipates a different outcome than the bookmakers.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic price discovery process. This means the price isn’t fixed but rather fluctuates with supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the Oregon vs USC game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oregon or USC teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also influence trading activity. Even late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely move the Oregon vs USC spread.