TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the designated game. Each market has a unique threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Postponements are permitted if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, or simply reflecting a different perspective on the probability of various outcomes than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Oregon vs USC 2nd quarter, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts for a particular total, the price goes up, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential score.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter of the Oregon vs USC game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be the determining factor. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to see the final outcome and whether their predictions were accurate, based on the actual points scored during that period of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Oregon or USC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could influence trading activity and move the price. Finally, early performance in the 1st quarter could provide clues and influence traders’ expectations for the 2nd quarter.