TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football game, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns are scored through receptions rather than runs or other plays. It examines various thresholds of success for each team, providing insight into potential offensive strategies and outcomes based on passing efficiency.
The event evaluates whether Oklahoma State or Oregon achieve specified minimum numbers of receiving touchdowns in their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of receiving touchdowns for either team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. Receiving touchdowns include those scored in overtime but exclude successful two-point conversions. If a game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, it proceeds normally; otherwise, markets resolve to a fair price. A touchdown counts as a receiving touchdown only if the player who catches the pass is the one who scores, with a special provision that if the receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores, it still counts. The markets are independent, each assessing a distinct numerical threshold for each team's receiving touchdowns.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that prediction market odds can move independently based on information and sentiment unique to this market.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by Oregon during the game against Oklahoma State. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries to key Oregon receivers, changes in weather forecasts potentially impacting the passing game, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could all play a role. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of Oregon scoring a certain number of receiving touchdowns will likely lead to fluctuations in this market.