TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams across different segments of a single game. It focuses on whether specific outcomes occur in both the first half and the full game, providing insight into potential shifts in momentum and strategy throughout the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Oregon vs Oklahoma St. college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes only if both the specified first-half result and the specified full-game result occur exactly as described. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the market's conditions, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this window, markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each requires precise alignment of both halves' and full-game outcomes to settle as Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Therefore, you might find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate. It's a useful exercise to compare the two and consider the reasoning behind any discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Oregon vs Oklahoma State game.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Oregon vs Oklahoma State football game, specifically determining the winner of both the first half and the full game. The platform will verify the results against widely accepted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the payouts for all contracts traded in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game, or even late-breaking analysis from sports commentators, could also cause traders to adjust their positions. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or social media, might also play a role, though the market’s price is primarily driven by trading activity on Kalshi itself. These signals can all contribute to volatility until the game is played.