TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Oregon State vs. Houston college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026, or if no touchdown is scored. All touchdowns—including those by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count toward the outcome, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets resolve as Yes for the respective team if they score the first touchdown, or for the 'No team scores a TD' market if neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction markets often reflect sharper or more nuanced probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially for specialized bets like this market. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a blend of public betting, sharp action, and proprietary models, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, often producing prices that align more closely with informed consensus. For this matchup, comparing the two can reveal differences in implied probabilities and help identify potential value. However, keep in mind that prediction markets are driven purely by trader sentiment and may shift rapidly.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to cross the goal line and score a touchdown determines the result, and the platform will finalize the market based on official game records. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed — the resolution follows the clear, on-field result of the contest. Traders should ensure they understand the timing, as the market settles shortly after the game concludes.