TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the Oregon St. vs Houston college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. For each market, if the combined second-quarter points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the actual game. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those found in traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts aiming to balance action on both sides and incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While there can be correlation, differences often emerge due to varying information sources and analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that total occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the outcome, aggregated from the decisions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter of the Oregon State vs Houston game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams during that specific quarter will determine the result. The platform will verify the data against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oregon State or Houston teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the 1st quarter, or even pre-game reports on team strategies, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected line-up changes or late-breaking news about player availability are also potential catalysts.